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Virginia U.S. Senate
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Virginia actually voted.
Current officeholder
Tim Kaine Democratic
2024 result
Democratic D+9.0
2024 votes cast
4,437,026
Office
U.S. Senate
Who lives in Virginia
Virginia is home to about 8,657,499 people, median age 38.8, median household income $90,974.
Population
8,657,499
Median age
38.8
Median household income
$90,974
Bachelor's degree or higher
41.5%
Race & ethnicity: White 59% · Black 18.7% · Hispanic 10.7% · Asian 6.9%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2019–2023 American Community Survey (5-year).
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model Virginia U.S. Senate in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Virginia U.S. Senate (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.
Open Virginia U.S. Senate in the simulator →