electionsmcp

electionsmcpraces › Texas's 21st Congressional District

Texas's 21st Congressional District

The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Texas actually voted.

Model Texas's 21st Congressional District →

Current officeholder

Chip Roy Republican

2024 result

Republican R+25.8

2024 votes cast

426,422

Office

U.S. House

Who lives in this district

This district is home to about 793,549 people, median age 40.6, median household income $91,642.

Population

793,549

Median age

40.6

Median household income

$91,642

Bachelor's degree or higher

45.8%

Race & ethnicity: White 58.7% · Black 3.5% · Hispanic 31.6% · Asian 2.3%

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2019–2023 American Community Survey (5-year).

Find your district

Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.

Model Texas's 21st Congressional District in five steps

  1. Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Texas's 21st Congressional District (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
  2. Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
  3. Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
  4. Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
  5. Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.

Open Texas's 21st Congressional District in the simulator →

Frequently asked

Who represents Texas's 21st Congressional District?
Chip Roy (Republican) currently holds this U.S. House seat.
What was the 2024 result in Texas's 21st Congressional District?
R+25.8 — 153,764 Democratic, 263,744 Republican, of 426,422 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.

More races in Texas

Connect your AI to electionsmcp →