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Pennsylvania's 16th Congressional District
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Pennsylvania actually voted.
Model Pennsylvania's 16th Congressional District →
Current officeholder
Mike Kelly Republican
2024 result
Republican R+27.3
2024 votes cast
403,632
Office
U.S. House
Who lives in this district
This district is home to about 763,502 people, median age 42.8, median household income $66,474.
Population
763,502
Median age
42.8
Median household income
$66,474
Bachelor's degree or higher
29.4%
Race & ethnicity: White 88.3% · Black 4.2% · Hispanic 2.8% · Asian 1.2%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2019–2023 American Community Survey (5-year).
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model Pennsylvania's 16th Congressional District in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Pennsylvania's 16th Congressional District (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.
Open Pennsylvania's 16th Congressional District in the simulator →