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Kentucky's 5th Congressional District

The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Kentucky actually voted.

Model Kentucky's 5th Congressional District →

Current officeholder

Harold Rogers Republican

2024 result

Republican R+100.0

2024 votes cast

147,834

Office

U.S. House

Who lives in this district

This district is home to about 745,869 people, median age 41.3, median household income $44,884.

Population

745,869

Median age

41.3

Median household income

$44,884

Bachelor's degree or higher

15.5%

Race & ethnicity: White 94.1% · Black 1.4% · Hispanic 1.5% · Asian 0.4%

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2019–2023 American Community Survey (5-year).

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Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.

Model Kentucky's 5th Congressional District in five steps

  1. Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Kentucky's 5th Congressional District (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
  2. Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
  3. Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
  4. Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
  5. Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.

Open Kentucky's 5th Congressional District in the simulator →

Frequently asked

Who represents Kentucky's 5th Congressional District?
Harold Rogers (Republican) currently holds this U.S. House seat.
What was the 2024 result in Kentucky's 5th Congressional District?
R+100.0 — 0 Democratic, 147,834 Republican, of 147,834 votes cast.
Can I model this race myself?
Yes — open it in the electionsmcp simulator and model vote-share swing and turnout from the real 2024 baseline, down to the precinct, then roll it up to chamber control.

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