electionsmcp › races › Arizona's 9th Congressional District
Arizona's 9th Congressional District
The current officeholder, the 2024 result, and a precinct-level model you can run yourself — built from how Arizona actually voted.
Model Arizona's 9th Congressional District →
Current officeholder
Paul A. Gosar Republican
2024 result
Republican R+30.6
2024 votes cast
382,654
Office
U.S. House
Who lives in this district
This district is home to about 836,316 people, median age 40.7, median household income $76,350.
Population
836,316
Median age
40.7
Median household income
$76,350
Bachelor's degree or higher
22.6%
Race & ethnicity: White 57.1% · Black 4.3% · Hispanic 31.1% · Asian 2%
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2019–2023 American Community Survey (5-year).
Find your district
Enter a ZIP code or a district (e.g. NC-4) to find your U.S. House district and who represents it.
Model Arizona's 9th Congressional District in five steps
- Set the candidates. Name the contenders for the Arizona's 9th Congressional District (or keep the generic Democrat / Republican defaults). The map starts from real 2024 results in every precinct.
- Apply a swing. Move vote share statewide, or by demographic cohort, with a slider. The map and the running tally recompute instantly.
- Model turnout. Mobilize or depress turnout for any group — turnout and persuasion are modeled separately, the way a real campaign thinks about them.
- Drill to precincts. Zoom from the state down to individual precincts and override any of them by hand.
- Roll up & share. Roll the result up to chamber control, then publish a shareable, frozen link to your scenario.
Open Arizona's 9th Congressional District in the simulator →